In brief
- Most succession plans track who could fill a role: experience, tenure, willingness to relocate. Almost none track how a person leads.
- AI can make that process much faster. On its own, it can’t add what was never there.
- The real choice is what you use AI for: cutting costs this year, or building a bench of leaders who will carry your culture and keep growing the business.
Years ago, succession planning at most companies I worked with looked the same. It was an Excel spreadsheet. Names ran down the first column. Across the top were the questions: Would this person relocate? Have they worked in this department? Have they managed a budget? How many years in their current role?
There was never a column for how the person led. How they treated people under pressure. Whether the team trusted them. Whether they worked the way the company needed its leaders to work. The company hadn’t defined its culture, so it had nothing to measure, and it never made the form.
Now AI is entering the picture, and a lot of leaders expect it to finally make succession planning work.
The myth: AI will make succession planning better
The hope is easy to understand. AI can scan every employee’s history, compare skills against open roles, predict who is likely to leave and flag who is ready to move up. It can model which roles might be combined, sped up or eliminated. What used to take a team weeks can take an afternoon.
But faster isn’t the same as better. AI works from the data you give it. If your succession plan only ever measured experience and availability, that’s all AI can measure too. It will fill in the same spreadsheet, just faster and with more confidence.
Why faster isn’t better
It picks from the same columns. If the plan rewards years in the role and past results, AI will recommend the people with the most years and the best results. That’s how companies end up promoting the best performer who becomes the worst leader. The data said they were ready. Nothing in the data said how they would lead.
It makes the obvious choice look certain. When a person tops the list, a recommendation from AI makes the decision feel settled. That’s exactly when it’s worth slowing down and asking the questions before the obvious promotion.
It optimizes for this year. Most AI tools are good at cost and efficiency: which roles to consolidate, where to cut, how to fill a seat quickly. Those are real business questions. But a succession plan built only on those questions keeps the company running this year and does nothing to make sure the people leading it in five years will lead the way the company needs.
The truth: the real choice is what you use AI for
There are two ways to bring AI into succession planning.
The first is to use it to make more money this year. Cut faster, fill seats faster, promote the strongest numbers. Some companies will stop there.
The second is to use it to build a culture that lasts, which ends up making more money over time. That means using AI to do the heavy lifting on the data so your leaders can focus on what the spreadsheet never captured: who leads the way your company needs, who is close and what they need to get there.
The second option only works if you’ve given AI something to work with. Name your culture. Describe the behaviors you expect from leaders at each level. Then AI can help you see who is ready for promotion based on how they lead, not just what they’ve done, and help you build development plans for the people who are close.
The numbers still matter. You run a business. But you also sell to people, and people build and run the business. A succession plan that only counts the numbers will keep missing the part that decides whether your next leaders keep your best people or lose them.
Your succession plan doesn’t need to be faster. It needs the column that was always missing. AI can help you fill it, once you’ve decided what goes in it.
Here’s how succession planning works when it’s built around the culture you’ve named.
Read next: AI in Performance Reviews: Faster Ratings or Better Managers?
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Add the column your succession plan is missing
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